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Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Arsenal (K) 4-0 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) cruised past Aston Villa (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 51% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 3.07 to 0.44.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.50 for Aston Villa (K).
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Arsenal (K) 4-0 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 67%, draw 20%, Aston Villa (K) 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.