Grazer AK 0-3 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 8 Dec 2024

Grazer AK
0-3 HT 0-1
Hartberg
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Grazer AK vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.35
X/2
10%
6.09
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.12
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grazer AK v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.56
-31% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
27.7 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Grazer AK vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hartberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.35 xG 0.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
201 Passes 406
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU

Grazer AK 0-3 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
0-3
AWAY Hartberg
0.21 xG 2.22
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
202 Passes 527
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg cruised past Grazer AK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grazer AK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Grazer AK had 32% of the ball to Hartberg's 68%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.21 to 2.22.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Hartberg?

Grazer AK 0-3 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 44%, draw 23%, Hartberg 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Grazer AK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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