Hartberg 1-1 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.58
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
13%
7.42
X/X
12%
5.61
2/1
10%
21.85
2/2
13%
5.0
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
49%
-13.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.75/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.23
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.6 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-1
AWAY Grazer AK
0.74 xG 0.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
406 Passes 201
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg and Grazer AK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hartberg had 64% of the ball to Grazer AK's 36%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.74 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Grazer AK?

Hartberg 1-1 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 35%, draw 30%, Grazer AK 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024
18:00 Austria Klagenfurt vs Blau-Weiss Linz Analysis →
20:30 Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol Analysis →