Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
0-2
HT 0-0
Sturm Graz
AVU
2-1
HT 2-1
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
2-2
HT 1-1
Sturm Graz
AVU
5-0
HT 2-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
Sturm Graz 4-2 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz saw off Swarovski Tirol 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 53% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 47%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.63 to 1.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.50 for Swarovski Tirol.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol?
Sturm Graz 4-2 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 54%, draw 23%, Swarovski Tirol 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.