Austria Klagenfurt 3-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.69
X/2
13%
5.5
X/X
16%
4.78
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
13%
3.57
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.37/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.05
+32% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
16.2 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.23 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
414 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
30.09.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
26.02.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2
11.09.2020 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 3-1 HT 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
11.06.2020 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2
25.08.2019 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 3-1 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
3-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
2.08 xG 0.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
409 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt got the better of Blau-Weiss Linz 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Austria Klagenfurt found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 57% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 43%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 2.08 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 0.50 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Austria Klagenfurt 3-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Klagenfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 37%, draw 30%, Blau-Weiss Linz 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Klagenfurt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Klagenfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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