Khorfakkan 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.79
2-3 Goals
38%
2.27
4-5 Goals
26%
2.36
6+ Goals
12%
4.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-12.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 75%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
0.88/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.67
+51% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
12.5 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 1.73
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
217 Passes 411
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
27.08.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.03.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
22.10.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
26.05.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.01.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
1-1
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.92 xG 2.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
177 Passes 382
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 47
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan and Al Ahli FC Dubai shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahli FC Dubai at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 38% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 62%, shots finished 4-27, expected goals 0.92 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.33 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Khorfakkan 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 20%, draw 22%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 58%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
8 Dec 2024
15:45 Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Bataeh Analysis →
18:30 Ajman vs Al Sharjah Analysis →
18:30 Al Nasr vs Dibba Al Hisn Analysis →