Al Najma 5-1 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 34% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.05/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.15
+80% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
230 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Malkiya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.01.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 2-0 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK
18.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
05.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma swept aside Malkiya 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Najma had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Najma and 0.67 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Malkiya?

Al Najma 5-1 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 32%, draw 32%, Malkiya 36%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malkiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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