Al Najma 2-0 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

Al Najma
2-0 HT 0-0
Malkiya
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Bahrain - Cup – 2023/2024

Al Najma vs Malkiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.74
Over 2.5
55%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
4.13
6+ Goals
11%
20.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.13 — our 27% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Malkiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Al Najma vs Malkiya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Malkiya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
05.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma got the better of Malkiya 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Najma had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Najma and 1.00 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Malkiya?

Al Najma 2-0 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 41%, draw 25%, Malkiya 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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