17/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Al Hadd vs Etehad Al Reef Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
2%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
22%
Draw
17%
11%
Away Win
10%
48%
Under 2.5
41%
52%
Over 2.5
59%
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
59%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hadd v Etehad Al Reef — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Hadd
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Etehad Al Reef
EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-57%
/
+61%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
6
8
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
2
524 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
258 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Al Hadd vs Etehad Al Reef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Hadd cruised past Etehad Al Reef 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hadd as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Hadd vs Etehad Al Reef?
Al Hadd 4-0 Etehad Al Reef in the Bahrain - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hadd vs Etehad Al Reef?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Al Hadd 67%, draw 22%, Etehad Al Reef 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hadd), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Hadd)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BAHK
More Bahrain - Cup
17 Jan 2024