Bahrain SC 1-2 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.00
-31% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahrain SC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Muharraq
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.04.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
12.01.2023 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
01.12.2022 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
26.11.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAHFK
POST-MATCH Bahrain SC vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq squeezed past Bahrain SC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Bahrain SC and 1.00 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Bahrain SC vs Muharraq?

Bahrain SC 1-2 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahrain SC vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bahrain SC 32%, draw 22%, Muharraq 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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