Boussu Dour Borinage 3-2 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.78
-34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.8 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
3-2
AWAY AS Eupen
1.61 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
227 Passes 310
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage squeezed past AS Eupen 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AS Eupen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 44% of the ball to AS Eupen's 56%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs AS Eupen?

Boussu Dour Borinage 3-2 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 31%, draw 25%, AS Eupen 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AS Eupen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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