Patro Eisden 4-0 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.56/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.37
+34% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
332 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.9 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lommel United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.44 xG 1.38
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
212 Passes 537
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-0 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
24.11.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-2 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
4-0
AWAY Lommel United
2.02 xG 0.55
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
113 Passes 418
59% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden swept aside Lommel United 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 28% of the ball to Lommel United's 72%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Patro Eisden and 0.50 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Lommel United?

Patro Eisden 4-0 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 45%, draw 24%, Lommel United 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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