Patro Eisden 3-0 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
0.69/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.21
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.5 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lommel United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 1.81
28% Ball Possession 72%
12 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
176 Passes 578
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-2 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
3-0
AWAY Lommel United
1.70 xG 0.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
248 Passes 496
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden ran out comfortable winners over Lommel United 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Patro Eisden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 37% of the ball to Lommel United's 63%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.70 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Lommel United?

Patro Eisden 3-0 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 37%, draw 28%, Lommel United 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5
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