RFC Seraing 1-1 KV Oostende — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY KV Oostende EU Bookmakers 46%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.17/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.95
-22% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
19.0 Crosses 17.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
1W-3D-1L
AWAY KV Oostende
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.12 xG 1.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
277 Passes 307
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 KV Oostende KV Oostende 1-1 HT 1-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
07.01.2023 KV Oostende KV Oostende 1-2 HT 1-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
08.10.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-1 HT 0-0 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL
02.04.2022 KV Oostende KV Oostende 2-2 HT 1-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
14.08.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 2-3 HT 1-0 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-1
AWAY KV Oostende
1.33 xG 0.73
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
341 Passes 181
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs KV Oostende
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing and KV Oostende couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KV Oostende at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 61% of the ball to KV Oostende's 39%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.33 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.60 for KV Oostende.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs KV Oostende?

RFC Seraing 1-1 KV Oostende in the Belgium - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs KV Oostende?

Before kick-off our model rated an KV Oostende win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 33%, draw 27%, KV Oostende 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KV Oostende), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KV Oostende) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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