RFC Liege 5-1 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

RFC Liege
5-1 HT 4-0
Waasland-Beveren
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Liege v Waasland-Beveren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +17%
1.96/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.17
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +145%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.6 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.97
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
181 Passes 473
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-2 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2

RFC Liege 5-1 Waasland-Beveren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
5-1
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
3.23 xG 1.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
22 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 577
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
35 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege ran out comfortable winners over Waasland-Beveren 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Waasland-Beveren at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Liege had 34% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 66%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 3.23 to 1.75.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

RFC Liege 5-1 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 30%, draw 27%, Waasland-Beveren 44%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Under 2.5
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