CD Lunda-Sul 1-1 Stade Malien Bamako — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.22
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Lunda-Sul EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Lunda-Sul
1-1
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
1.30 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
296 Passes 171
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Lunda-Sul vs Stade Malien Bamako
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Lunda-Sul and Stade Malien Bamako couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Lunda-Sul at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, CD Lunda-Sul had 58% of the ball to Stade Malien Bamako's 42%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.30 to 1.15.

What was the final score of CD Lunda-Sul vs Stade Malien Bamako?

CD Lunda-Sul 1-1 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Lunda-Sul vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Lunda-Sul win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Lunda-Sul 44%, draw 27%, Stade Malien Bamako 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Lunda-Sul), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Lunda-Sul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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