Onze Bravos 3-2 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.44
Over 2.5
25%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.33
No
67%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
47%
1.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
11%
6.37
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.98 — our 47% vs market 42.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.8pp
75%
Under 2.5
66%
+9.2pp
25%
Over 2.5
34%
-9.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.1pp
67%
BTTS No
61%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Onze Bravos EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Onze Bravos
3-2
AWAY CS Sfaxien
0.88 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
333 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Onze Bravos vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Onze Bravos nicked a narrow win over CS Sfaxien 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (24% / 36% / 39%) promised a tight game; Onze Bravos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Onze Bravos had 51% of the ball to CS Sfaxien's 49%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.88 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Onze Bravos vs CS Sfaxien?

Onze Bravos 3-2 CS Sfaxien in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Onze Bravos vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Onze Bravos 24%, draw 36%, CS Sfaxien 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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