Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-14.9pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.3pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+11.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.7pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.84/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.08
-54% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittihad Tanger
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2024 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
06.01.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-0 HT 1-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
20.06.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-2 HT 0-2 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
22.01.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-1 HT 0-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
12.02.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 3-0 HT 2-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
18.09.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-1 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ittihad Tanger
1-1
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ittihad Tanger vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ittihad Tanger and Chabab Mohammedia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ittihad Tanger at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ittihad Tanger had 67% of the ball to Chabab Mohammedia's 33%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chabab Mohammedia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ittihad Tanger and 1.17 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of Ittihad Tanger vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittihad Tanger vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ittihad Tanger win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ittihad Tanger 61%, draw 20%, Chabab Mohammedia 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ittihad Tanger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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