Saint-Etienne 0-2 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.72
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
18.8
X/1
8%
12.65
X/2
16%
4.3
X/X
7%
6.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.15
2/X
11%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.9pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.31/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.04
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
14.7 Crosses 21.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Marsilya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 2.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
262 Passes 450
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-4 HT 1-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
28.08.2021 Marsilya Marsilya 3-1 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
28.07.2021 Marsilya Marsilya 2-1 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne HAZ
09.05.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 1-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
17.09.2020 Marsilya Marsilya 0-2 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
05.02.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-2 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
0-2
AWAY Marsilya
0.15 xG 2.51
31% Ball Possession 69%
3 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 9
330 Passes 813
83% Pass Accuracy 93%
5 Box Touches 32
4 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya beat Saint-Etienne 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 31% of the ball to Marsilya's 69%, shots finished 3-21, expected goals 0.15 to 2.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.83 for Marsilya.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya?

Saint-Etienne 0-2 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 25%, draw 24%, Marsilya 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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