Lens 2-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 8 Dec 2024

Lens
2-0 HT 1-0
Montpellier
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Lens vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
9.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.86
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.7
X/1
13%
3.99
X/2
11%
16.75
X/X
14%
7.45
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
7%
13.25
2/X
5%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.92/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.47
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
22.1 Crosses 14.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Lens vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.07 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
458 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Lens Lens 2-2 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
08.12.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
25.02.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
15.10.2022 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
20.04.2022 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
17.10.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 1-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1

Lens 2-0 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
2-0
AWAY Montpellier
1.27 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
444 Passes 347
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lens vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens got the better of Montpellier 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lens had 55% of the ball to Montpellier's 45%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.27 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lens and 0.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Lens vs Montpellier?

Lens 2-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lens 53%, draw 24%, Montpellier 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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