Lens vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lens v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals
Lens vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Lens
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Lens
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Montpellier
FR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Montpellier
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Lens
FR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Lens
FR1
Lens 2-2 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics
Lens and Montpellier shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Lens at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lens had 55% of the ball to Montpellier's 45%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 5.26 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lens and 0.50 for Montpellier.
What was the final score of Lens vs Montpellier?
Lens 2-2 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lens vs Montpellier?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lens 53%, draw 22%, Montpellier 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lens), BTTS No went the other way.