Metz 0-2 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 May 2024

Metz
0-2 HT 0-2
PSG
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Metz vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.75
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
8%
9.26
X/2
14%
4.53
X/X
8%
5.82
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.23
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.75 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metz v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 56%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
0.98/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.47
-12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 82%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
19.9 Crosses 11.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Metz vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSG
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.63 xG 2.64
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
203 Passes 646
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
21.05.2022 PSG PSG 5-0 HT 3-0 Metz Metz FR1
22.09.2021 Metz Metz 1-2 HT 1-1 PSG PSG FR1
24.04.2021 Metz Metz 1-3 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
16.09.2020 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
30.08.2019 Metz Metz 0-2 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1

Metz 0-2 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
0-2
AWAY PSG
0.87 xG 2.04
24% Ball Possession 76%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
172 Passes 721
72% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metz vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG got the better of Metz 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Metz had 24% of the ball to PSG's 76%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.87 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Metz and 2.67 for PSG.

What was the final score of Metz vs PSG?

Metz 0-2 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Metz 29%, draw 22%, PSG 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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