Reims 2-1 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 May 2024

Reims
2-1 HT 0-0
Rennes
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Reims vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
6.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.21 — our 28% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.6pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.10/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.26
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
21.6 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Reims vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rennes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 407
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
15.04.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 2-0 Reims Reims FR1
29.12.2022 Reims Reims 3-1 HT 2-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
09.04.2022 Reims Reims 2-3 HT 0-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.09.2021 Rennes Rennes 0-2 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR1
04.04.2021 Reims Reims 2-2 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1

Reims 2-1 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
2-1
AWAY Rennes
1.33 xG 1.49
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
242 Passes 528
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reims vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims nicked a narrow win over Rennes 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Reims had 35% of the ball to Rennes's 65%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.33 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Reims and 2.00 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Reims vs Rennes?

Reims 2-1 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Reims 35%, draw 24%, Rennes 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ BTTS Yes
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