Lorient 5-0 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 May 2024

Lorient
5-0 HT 2-0
Clermont
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lorient vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.66
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
21%
4.18
X/2
9%
11.0
X/X
9%
6.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.7
2/2
10%
7.31
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lorient v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 23%
+18% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.76/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.67
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
14.2 Crosses 16.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lorient vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Clermont
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 420
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Clermont Clermont 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
27.05.2023 Clermont Clermont 2-0 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
28.08.2022 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
13.03.2022 Clermont Clermont 0-2 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
03.10.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
15.02.2020 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2

Lorient 5-0 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
5-0
AWAY Clermont
4.30 xG 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
32 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
287 Passes 406
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient cruised past Clermont 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lorient had 44% of the ball to Clermont's 56%, shots finished 32-9, expected goals 4.30 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lorient and 1.00 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Clermont?

Lorient 5-0 Clermont in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lorient 54%, draw 22%, Clermont 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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