Shatin SA 1-0 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.75/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.00
-60% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.11.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-0 HT 0-0 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA squeezed past Sham Shui Po 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Shatin SA made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po?

Shatin SA 1-0 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 33%, draw 27%, Sham Shui Po 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sham Shui Po) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sham Shui Po) ✓ Under 2.5
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