08/12/2024
·
10:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
27%
Draw
23%
40%
Away Win
33%
52%
Under 2.5
38%
48%
Over 2.5
62%
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
50%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shatin SA v Sham Shui Po — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Shatin SA
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sham Shui Po
EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% /
-28%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
0.75/1.70
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/0.00
-60%
/
+9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-74%
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
333 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
392 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.8
Yellow Cards
–
Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Shatin SA
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Sham Shui Po
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
14.11.2021
Shatin SA
0-0
HT 0-0
Sham Shui Po
HK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sham Shui Po
HK2
POST-MATCH
Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Shatin SA squeezed past Sham Shui Po 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Shatin SA made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po?
Shatin SA 1-0 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Sham Shui Po?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 33%, draw 27%, Sham Shui Po 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sham Shui Po) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sham Shui Po)
✓ Under 2.5
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HK2
More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
8 Dec 2024