Yuen Long 2-4 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

Yuen Long
2-4
Citizen AA
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2024/2025

Yuen Long vs Citizen AA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.8pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yuen Long v Citizen AA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 55%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.01/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.63
-3% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Yuen Long vs Citizen AA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Citizen AA
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
03.12.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-4 HT 2-2 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
12.03.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-0 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
20.11.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-1 HT 2-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
21.11.2021 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-0 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
30.03.2014 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK1

Yuen Long 2-4 Citizen AA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
2-4
AWAY Citizen AA
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA saw off Yuen Long 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Yuen Long had 52% of the ball to Citizen AA's 48%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yuen Long and 1.33 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Citizen AA?

Yuen Long 2-4 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 29%, draw 29%, Citizen AA 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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