Willem II vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Heerenveen
HOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Heerenveen
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Willem II
HOK
1-2
HT 1-2
Willem II
HOL
Willem II 1-2 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics
Heerenveen edged past Willem II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Willem II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Willem II had 41% of the ball to Heerenveen's 59%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.75 to 1.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Willem II and 1.33 for Heerenveen.
What was the final score of Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Willem II 1-2 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Willem II 49%, draw 29%, Heerenveen 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.