Almere City 1-3 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.05
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
17.3
X/1
7%
10.55
X/2
16%
4.51
X/X
13%
5.76
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.44
2/X
10%
16.5
Value flag · 1/X at 17.3 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.3pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 58%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
0.62/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.20
-55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 82%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
15.5 Crosses 19.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Utrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.16 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
238 Passes 256
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
30.09.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-2 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-3
AWAY Utrecht
1.25 xG 1.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht beat Almere City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Almere City had 50% of the ball to Utrecht's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.25 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almere City and 0.50 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Utrecht?

Almere City 1-3 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Almere City 21%, draw 33%, Utrecht 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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