Almere City 1-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Mar 2024

Almere City
1-1 HT 1-1
Utrecht
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Almere City vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.41
1/2
4%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
6.76
X/2
10%
4.41
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.98
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 6.76 — our 16% vs market 10.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 48%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
0.85/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.29
-62% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
28.9 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Almere City vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Utrecht
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.98 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
269 Passes 296
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-2 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL

Almere City 1-1 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-1
AWAY Utrecht
0.33 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
207 Passes 217
60% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City and Utrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Almere City had 48% of the ball to Utrecht's 52%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.33 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Utrecht?

Almere City 1-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Almere City 34%, draw 23%, Utrecht 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Utrecht), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
9 Mar 2024
20:45 Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam Analysis →
23:00 RKC Waalwijk vs Vitesse Analysis →