RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Mar 2024

RKC Waalwijk
3-1 HT 1-0
Vitesse
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

RKC Waalwijk vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
18%
4.98
X/2
8%
6.41
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.44
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.51/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.45
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
18.1 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

RKC Waalwijk vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vitesse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
261 Passes 391
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 0-2 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
01.04.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
27.08.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 2-2 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
20.03.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 1-2 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
12.09.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
30.01.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AWAY Vitesse
2.83 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 52
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk got the better of Vitesse 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RKC Waalwijk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 42% of the ball to Vitesse's 58%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 2.83 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.00 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Vitesse?

RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 44%, draw 26%, Vitesse 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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