Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-2 Urawa Red (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - Women's League Cup, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.8pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.11.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
27.04.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2-2
AWAY Urawa Red (K)
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Urawa Red (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and Urawa Red (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 36% of the ball to Urawa Red (K)'s 64%, shots finished 7-22.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Urawa Red (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 2.00 for Urawa Red (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-2 Urawa Red (K) in the Japan - Women's League Cup on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 26%, draw 25%, Urawa Red (K) 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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