Urawa Red (K) 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
36%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.64
Over 2.5
32%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-16.2pp
36%
Draw
25%
+10.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 36% / 25% — and on the day Urawa Red (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 58% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 42%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 40%, draw 36%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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