Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-3 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -63% / -63%
1.13/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+37% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2024 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K)
1-3
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) got the better of Mynavi Sendai (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerezo Osaka (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mynavi Sendai (K) had 50% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 50%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-3 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mynavi Sendai (K) 25%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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