Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.27/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.63
-66% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +109%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.04.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
17.09.2023 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JKLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) nicked a narrow win over Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Albirex Niigata (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 63% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 37%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 0.00 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 33%, draw 31%, Albirex Niigata (K) 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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