Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.34
-18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
258 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.09.2023 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JKLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
0-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija (K) nicked a narrow win over Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 55% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 45%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 48%, draw 28%, Omiya Ardija (K) 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
14 Apr 2024
07:00 JEF United (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K) Analysis →
08:00 Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Analysis →
08:00 Cerezo Osaka (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Analysis →
08:00 Urawa Red (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Analysis →
10:00 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Analysis →