JEF United (K) 2-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-9% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
03.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
2-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) saw off Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day JEF United (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 49% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 51%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

JEF United (K) 2-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 33%, draw 31%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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