Urawa Red (K) 2-0 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-9.7pp
14%
Draw
11%
+3.1pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.33/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+58% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +84%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-5 HT 0-5 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2-0
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) saw off Nojima Stella (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 63% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 37%, shots finished 21-3.

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 2-0 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 72%, draw 14%, Nojima Stella (K) 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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