Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) squeezed past Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AS Elfen Saitama (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Elfen Saitama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 30%, draw 23%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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