Al Shahaniya 2-4 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.37
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 55%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.94/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.55
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
18.8 Crosses 23.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
03.01.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
11.03.2015 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
21.10.2014 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shahaniya
2-4
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.39 xG 2.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 9
335 Passes 382
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 45
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa saw off Al Shahaniya 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Shahaniya had 47% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 53%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.39 to 2.88.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Shahaniya and 2.33 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa?

Al Shahaniya 2-4 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 24%, draw 25%, Al Gharafa 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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