Al Arabi 0-3 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.26/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.73
-31% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
24.2 Crosses 13.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.87 xG 1.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
410 Passes 313
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
06.01.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 4-4 HT 3-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
18.11.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
27.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
03.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
23.03.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal swept aside Al Arabi 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Arabi and 1.50 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Umm Salal?

Al Arabi 0-3 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 42%, draw 26%, Umm Salal 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Arabi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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