Gor Mahia 0-1 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
12%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+13.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 21%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.80/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.21
+55% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bidco United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
23.06.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 3-4 HT 1-2 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
23.01.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 1-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
19.01.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-1 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bidco United edged past Gor Mahia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gor Mahia and 1.67 for Bidco United.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Bidco United?

Gor Mahia 0-1 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 41%, draw 28%, Bidco United 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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