Bidco United 3-4 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.2pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.18/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.00
+91% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bidco United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Gor Mahia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.01.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 1-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
19.01.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-1 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia squeezed past Bidco United 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bidco United and 1.00 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs Gor Mahia?

Bidco United 3-4 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 25%, draw 30%, Gor Mahia 45%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
23 Jun 2024
15:00 Police vs Kariobangi Sharks Analysis →
15:00 Sofapaka vs Nzoia United Analysis →