Police vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Kariobangi Sharks — Team-Based Signals
Police vs Kariobangi Sharks Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
Kariobangi Sharks
KEN2
1-3
HT 1-1
Police
KEN2
Police and Kariobangi Sharks shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Police at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Police and 1.00 for Kariobangi Sharks.
What was the final score of Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Police 2-2 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Police 43%, draw 31%, Kariobangi Sharks 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.