Sofapaka 3-1 Nzoia United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

Sofapaka
3-1 HT 1-1
Nzoia United
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sofapaka vs Nzoia United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sofapaka v Nzoia United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Nzoia United EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sofapaka vs Nzoia United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nzoia United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
15.10.2021 Nzoia United Nzoia United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Nzoia United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka beat Nzoia United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sofapaka as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Nzoia United?

Sofapaka 3-1 Nzoia United in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Nzoia United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 54%, draw 24%, Nzoia United 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sofapaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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