Casa Pia 1-1 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

Casa Pia
1-1 HT 1-0
AVS
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
17.9
X/1
14%
4.26
X/2
8%
9.8
X/X
14%
4.68
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
10%
8.51
2/X
7%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.94/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.24
-56% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.0 Crosses 15.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
1-1
AWAY AVS
1.43 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
302 Passes 376
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia and AVS shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Casa Pia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Casa Pia had 46% of the ball to AVS's 54%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.43 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs AVS?

Casa Pia 1-1 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 43%, draw 31%, AVS 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casa Pia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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