Boavista 1-1 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

Boavista
1-1 HT 0-0
Farense
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Boavista vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.12
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
12%
5.66
X/2
12%
6.39
X/X
16%
4.08
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.93
2/X
5%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Farense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.19
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.0 Crosses 20.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Boavista vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Farense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 2.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
352 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Farense Farense 2-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
12.11.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-3 HT 0-1 Farense Farense POR
21.03.2021 Boavista Boavista 0-1 HT 0-1 Farense Farense POR
08.11.2020 Farense Farense 3-1 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
23.02.2002 Farense Farense 1-2 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
30.09.2001 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR

Boavista 1-1 Farense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
1-1
AWAY Farense
1.48 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 256
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista and Farense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Boavista had 53% of the ball to Farense's 47%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.48 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boavista and 1.83 for Farense.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Farense?

Boavista 1-1 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boavista win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boavista 40%, draw 28%, Farense 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boavista), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boavista) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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