Sassuolo (K) 1-2 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 8 Dec 2025

Sassuolo (K)
1-2 HT 0-2
Lazio (K)
📅08/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sassuolo (K) v Lazio (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.88/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.93
-48% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
13.9 Crosses 23.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Lazio (K)
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.98 xG 2.01
42% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
185 Passes 270
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 5-0 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
22.03.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
11.01.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
06.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA

Sassuolo (K) 1-2 Lazio (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1-2
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.56 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
203 Passes 298
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) edged past Sassuolo (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 43% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 57%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.56 to 2.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lazio (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lazio (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 2.75 for Lazio (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 1-2 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 30%, draw 22%, Lazio (K) 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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