Famalicao U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.18/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.47
-45% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
27.11.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
28.08.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
25.11.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
1-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 edged past Famalicao U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao U23 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 57% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 43%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Famalicao U23 and 0.50 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Famalicao U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 48%, draw 26%, Sporting Braga U23 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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