Sporting CP vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Sporting CP
PORLC
1-3
HT 0-2
Sporting CP
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Tondela
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
POR
4-0
HT 1-0
Tondela
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Tondela
POR
Sporting CP 4-0 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP cruised past Tondela 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sporting CP had 72% of the ball to Tondela's 28%, shots finished 21-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting CP and 0.33 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Tondela?
Sporting CP 4-0 Tondela in the Portugal - Cup on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 61%, draw 22%, Tondela 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.