Sitra 0-1 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 9 Jan 2025

📅09/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.98/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.07
+30% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Malkiya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 13
16.05.2022 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 1-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
02.09.2021 Sitra Sitra 2-5 Malkiya Malkiya BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
0-1
AWAY Malkiya
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya edged past Sitra 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sitra at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sitra had 63% of the ball to Malkiya's 37%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sitra and 2.50 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Malkiya?

Sitra 0-1 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sitra 48%, draw 28%, Malkiya 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sitra), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sitra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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